Powell vs. Schmid

The Fed’s September Cliffhanger 🎬

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What we’ll cover today:

💸 Powell’s Jackson Hole swan song and hints at September cut

📊 Schmid’s resistance to rushing rate cuts

🔥 Wall Street’s bets vs. Fed’s poker game

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell will give his final big Jackson Hole speech, balancing politics, Trump’s pressure, and Fed independence.

🚨 Breaking News:
Markets expect Powell to hint at a September rate cut, while also defending Fed independence against Trump’s constant political attacks.

⚡Wire Simplified:

  • Powell has led the Fed for 7+ years, always calm under fire.

  • Trump keeps pressuring him to cut rates.

  • Fed governors disagree: some want cuts, others want patience.

  • Inflation vs unemployment is the big balancing act.

  • Powell may roll back the 2020 “let inflation run hot” policy.

✔️ Straight to the Point:
Powell’s speech could shape markets and politics. He will likely defend Fed independence while carefully teasing a rate cut. Classic Powell poker face.

🎤 Should Powell call out Trump directly in his speech?

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Jeffrey Schmid, Kansas City Fed President, is not sold on cutting rates in September, saying inflation still needs more taming.

🚨 Breaking News:
While markets bet big on a September cut, Schmid says the Fed needs “definitive data” before lowering borrowing costs.

⚡Wire Simplified:

  • Markets expect 80% chance of September rate cut.

  • Schmid says inflation is closer to 3% than 2%.

  • Trump is yelling for cuts to boost housing and borrowing.

  • Fed politics got messy: accusations, renovations, and pressure everywhere.

  • Schmid insists Fed must stay professional despite drama.

✔️ Straight to the Point:
Schmid’s caution means September cuts are not guaranteed. Fed battles inflation, politics, and public drama while trying not to break the economy.

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